Project Risk Management and Project Success of Rice Production in Rwanda; A Case of Rice Cooperatives of Bugesera District (2019-2022)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53819/81018102t2400Abstract
The study investigated the effect of project risk management on success of rice production in Rwanda in a case of Rice Cooperatives of Bugesera District. This research achieved the following objectives : To determine the effect of risk identification on rice project success in Bugesera district ; to assess the effect of crop insurance on rice project success in Bugesera district; to analyze the effect of livestock insurance on rice project success in Bugesera district and to establish the effect of investment cost insurance on rice project success in Bugesera district. The study utilized a case study method to investigate project risk management and rice production success in Rwanda, employing both descriptive survey and correlation designs to analyze characteristics and interpret data respectively. Both quantitative (questionnaires) and qualitative (interviews) methods were used for data collection and analysis. The study targeted a total population of 162 employees from cooperatives in the Bugesera district, using a census inquiry method for sampling where the entire population served as the sample size. Data collection involved both primary and secondary sources, and data analysis was performed using SPSS and Excel to generate summary statistics, frequency tables, charts, and regression coefficients to clearly present the findings. Multiple regression analysis was also conducted to delve deeper into the data. The results indicated that project risk management have positive and significant effect on project success of rice production (β1= 0.376, t= 3.514, p = 0.002<0.05; β2= 0.243, t=2.382, p =0.023<0.05; β3= 0.267, t= 0.317, p = 0.003<0.05; β4= 0.29, t= 4.83, p = 0.29<0.05), respectively. This shows that 1 per cent increase in project risk management will lead to 0.376, 0.243, 0.267 and 0.29 percent increase on project success of rice production. The study found that all hypotheses tested were rejected, indicating that there is a significant effect of risk identification, crop insurance, livestock insurance, and investment cost insurance on the success of rice projects in Bugesera district. The study concludes that agricultural insurance has low effectiveness as a risk management tool in Rwanda, due to factors such as lack of knowledge, high premium costs, and insufficient number of potential client farmers. In addition, it is concluded that Rwanda's agricultural sector is highly exposed to weather risks, with most farmers practicing rainfed agriculture. The study recommends that joint efforts are required to increase the effectiveness of agricultural insurance as a risk management tool. This includes strengthening public education and training in agricultural insurance, addressing problems that prevent registration, and introducing insurance as a subject in secondary school.
References
Abugah, K. (2017). Focusing on people transformation: Community development and social change. Nairobi: Destiny Logistics Ltd.
Armitage, A. (2018). Social welfare in Canada: Ideals, Reality and Future Paths, (2ed.) Toronto: McClelland and Stewart
Austrian Development Agency. (2017). Guidelines for project and programme evaluations.imprint: The Operational unit of the Austrian development cooperation. Zelinkagasse 2, 1010 Vienna, Austria.
Brown, S.R. (2015). Evaluating institutional sustainability in development programs. Journal of international development, 10
Bambarger, (2006). Project Leadership for Sustainability. In: AIPM National Conference, Canberra, October 2008, Sydney, Australia: Australian Institute of Project Management
Canadian International Development Agency. (2016). How to perform evaluations - participatory evaluations. Prepared by the CIDA performance review branch.
Chinnanon. (2015). What Determines the Effectiveness of Community-Based Water Projects. Social Capital Initiative Working Paper, 14.
Deprez, S. (2018). Community participation in rangeland management : a report for the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation. (RIRDC: Barton ACT)
Food and Agricultural Organization. (2015). Monitoring and evaluating stakeholder participation in agriculture and rural development projects.
GroHarlem Brundt L, (2017). Community Participation in Project Planning, Management and Implementation: Building the Foundation for Sustainable Development. International Journal of Current Research, 5(02), 398-401.
Gee, R. (2016). Participation in development, development theory and practice: Critical perspective. Working paper 15, University of Massachusetts.
Irene, G. (2019). Socio-economic methodologies for natural resources research. Best practice guidelines participatory monitoring and evaluation for natural Resource management and research. International Institute for Environment and Development.
Irene, M., Dominique, G., & Ingrid, F. (2016). Impact monitoring and evaluation system for farmer field schools in Kyrgyzstan: How to optimize resource allocation for higher impact. Journal of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, 2(10), pp. 211-218.
June, L., Greg, H., Lyn, S., & Megan, K. (2015). Building community capacities in evaluating rural IT projects: Success strategies from the LEARNERS Project. International journal of education and development using information and communication technology, 1, Issue I, pp. 13-31.
Katherine, P., & Jutta, B. (2016). Participatory monitoring and evaluation in Latin America: overview of the literature with annotated bibliography. Institute of Development Studies (IDS), University of Sussex.
Kerzner, H (2019). Project management: A systems approach to planning, scheduling and controlling. NewYork: John Wiley& Sons, Inc.
Marisol, E., & John, G. (2015) Who counts reality? Participatory monitoring and evaluation: A literature review IDS working paper 70.
Sustainable Agriculture and Rural Development. (2016). Participatory monitoring and evaluation for sustainable agriculture and rural development.
Spreckely, F. (2019). Evaluating participation processes in community development. Evaluation and Program Planning 18, 371-383. https://doi.org/10.1016/0149-7189(95)00030-5
Stiglitz JE. (2015). Participation and development: perspectives from the comprehensive development paradigm. Review of Development Economics 6, 163-182. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9361.00148
The World Bank. (2012). When do Participatory Development Projects Work?
Wolfgang, B., & Ann, W. B. (2016). Participatory monitoring and evaluation (PM&E) with pastoralists: a view of experiences and annotated bibliography Eschborn.
World Bank report, (2016). Participatory Monitoring and Evaluation, in Topics: Participation and Civic Engagement (a). Washington DC.
World Bank (2016). Local and community driven development. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
World Food Programme. (2016). Monitoring and evaluation. Retrieved from website: www.wfp.org
Zall, K. J. & Rist, R. C. 2016). Overview of participative action approaches in Australian land and water management. In ‘Participative approaches for Land care’. (Ed. Keith) pp. 5-42. (Australian Academic Press: Brisbane).
